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ČITALI SMO ZA VAS

BOSNIA
Recognition

What Did the United States Know?

No other atrocity campaign in the twentieth century was better monitored and understood by the U.S. government. U.S. analysts fed their higher-ups detailed and devastating reports on Serbian war aims and tactics. One classified April 14 information memorandum, for instance, described the Serbs' clear pattern of use of force, intimidation, and provocation to violence aimed at forcibly partitioning [Bosnia] and effecting large forced transfers of population. . . . The clear intent of Serbian use of force is to displace non-Serbs from mixed areas (including areas where Serbs are a minority) to consolidate Bosnian Serb claims to some 60% of Bosnian territory . . . in a manner which would create a "Serbian\Bosnia."

Balkan watchers also knew Miloševic well enough to alert their superiors to his favorite stalling tactics. In the same memo the analyst wrote, "Belgrade practiced the strategy of the hyena in Croatia, curbing its most aggressive actions during peak moments of international scrutiny and condemnation but resuming them as soon as possible."='This was written just a week into the war.

Jon Western, an analyst in the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research, was one of many U.S. officials charged with processing Serb brutality on a daily basis. Western was on the fast track in the department. Fair-haired, blue-eyed, and nothing if not earnest, Western had joined the government in 1988.

His first day's journal entry from INR, dated July 15, 1990, read: "This is the job I've always dreamed of "Western had grown up in North Dakota and never in his life seen a dead body. Yet suddenly in 1992 he found himself confronted by reports and photos that depicted human beings who "looked like they had been through meat grinders:'

From the beginning of the war, he was tasked with sifting through some 1,000 documents on Bosnia a day-open source reports from foreign and American journalists and international human rights groups, local press translations, classified cables from the field, satellite intelligence, refugee testimony, and telephone and radio intercepts. He used the data to prepare Secretary of State Baker's morning intelligence summary.

In his training for the post of intelligence analyst, Western had been taught to greet reports with skepticism. And the stories emerging from Bosnia certainly seemed to warrant disbelief. One cable described a nine year-old Muslim girl who had been raped by Serb militiamen and left lying in a pool of blood for two days while her parents watched, from behind a fence, as she died. He did not believe it.

"You're taught to be objective," he remembered. "You're trained not to believe everything you hear."=' Following in the footsteps of Morgenthau in Constantinople and Twining on the Cambodia-Thai border, Western confronted images he could not process. But the refugees kept talking, making themselves heard. The very same report about the Muslim girl crossed his desk a second time when a separate group of witnesses confirmed it independently to U.S. investigators.

Some of the images were superficially mild. For instance, Western saw satellite photos that looked like they depicted the night sky-hundreds of luminous little stars dotted a black canvas. But the young analyst knew that the stars were not stars at all but the glowing embers of small fires that proud Europeans expelled from their homes built in their makeshift encampments in the woods. In June 1992 he found himself assigned to conduct a frame-by-frame analysis of television footage of the Sarajevo "breadline massacre," in which a Serb shell blew twenty-two shoppers apart. His was a taxing visual odyssey. Marshall Harris, Western's colleague in the State Department, remembers, ` Jon had it the worst.

He had to read everything that came in, no matter how horrific. The rest of us got a summarized version of the brutality, but he had to process every minute detail:'
However gruesome his tasks, Western had a job to do. Beginning in late May he set out to see if there might be a pattern in the refugee accounts and in the Serb military advance. He was leery of leaping to conclusions because the Bosnian Muslims had already gained a reputation for manipulating international sympathy, Western demanded corroboration. Could the refugees provide more descriptive detail about the weather on a particular day? Did they recall the color of the buildings in the so-called concentration camps? Could they describe the clothes of their supposed assailants?

Over the July 4 weekend in 1992,Western and a CIA colleague worked around the clock for three days, poring over mounds of classified and unclassified material. Gathering military intelligence and refugee reports from all across Bosnia, they acquired the most clear-cut evidence yet of a vast network of oncentration camps. The Serb tactics in Brčko in nort em Bosnia resembled those in Zvornik in eastern Bosnia and Prijedor in western Bosnia.

This suggested that the ethnic cleansing and the military attacks had been planned and coordinated. Bosnian Serb artillery would begin by unleashing a barrage on a given village; Serb paramilitaries would launch infantry assaults, killing armed men, rounding up unarmed men, and sending trembling women and children into flight. When most Serb forces moved to the next village, a cadre of paramilitaries and regulars stayed behind to "mop up: 'Within hours, they had looted valuables, shot livestock, and blown roofs off houses. Non-Serb life in Serb territory was banned. Some 10,000 Bosnians were fleeing their homes each day.2' The Serbs' next moves were spookily easy to predict. As Western remembers:

/We could see the attacks coming by watching our computer terminal screens, by scanning the satellite imagery, or often just by watching television. We knew exactly what the Bosnian Serbs were going to do
next, and there was nothing we could do. Imagine you could say "In two days this village is going to die," and there was nothing you could do about it. You just sat there, waited for it to happen and dutifully
' reported it up the chain.

But the chain was missing some links. The question about what could be done, which was burning inside junior and midlevel officials, had already
been answered by senior officials within the administration. Powell, Baker, Scowcroft, Cheney Eagleburger, and Bush had decided the United States
would not intervene militarily That case was closed. John Fox of the State Department's Policy Planning Office recalls a climate that eschewed mention of the possibility of U.S. intervention. "For most of 1992, we couldn't send memos that called for the use of American force," Fox remembers.

"The best we could do was to write arresting things that led inexorably to the conclusion that force would have to be used."

An ever-expanding posse of like-minded State Department officials piped cable upon cable up the State Department food chain in the hopes that one senior official would bite. There were no takers. The young hawks recognized that they had several forces working against them.

First, their higher-ups had narrowly circumscribed what everybody within the building understood to be "possible." There would be no U.S. military intervention in Bosnia. This was a fact, not a forecast. This shaped the thinking of those who sat before their computers or bumped into one another in the department's drab cafeteria and decided whether and how to appeal.

Second, they were dealing with bureaucrats like themselves who were protective of turf and career and not at all in the habit of rocking the boat. Third, they knew that their strongest argument for intervention was a moral argument, which was necessarily suspect in a department steeped in the realist tradition.

Fox remembers diversifying his written appeals, offering" something for everyone":
I used history, arguing that we had allowed fascism to triumph before in this building, and that it had proven not to be such a good idea. I argued that we should intervene because it was "the right thing to do:' This is an argument you almost never make in government if you know what you are doing. It virtually guarantees that you don't get invited to the next meeting and that you gain a reputation for moralism. I warned them that if we let these killings happen this time around, they would be the ones stuck holding the smoking gun. Of the three types of argument-the historical, the moral, and the "cover your ass" kind-the latter was of course the most compelling.


U.S. foreign service officers knew that Secretary of State Baker believed that the United States did not "have a dog in this fight." But undaunted by their superiors' indifference, they kept the analysis coming. One of the most memorable overviews of the situation came from the pen of Ambassador Zimmerman, who, one month into the war, submitted a confidential cable to the secretary of state entitled "Who Killed Yugoslavia?" The cable was divided into five sections, each headed by a verse from "Who Killed Cock Robin?" Zimmerman had been recalled to Washington on May 16, 1992, and writing it was his last official act as ambassador.

He "argued that nationalism had "put an arrow in the heart of Yugoslavia" and placed the blame squarely on Balkan leaders like Croatia's "narrow-mind ed, crypto-racist regime" and the Milosevic dictatorship in Belgrade: Innocent bystanders . . . never had a chance against Milosevic's combination of aggressiveness and intransigence. Historians can argue;' about the role of the individual in history. I have no doubt that if Milosevic's parents had committed suicide before his birth rather than after, I would not be writing a cable about the death of Yugoslavia. Milosevic, more than anyone else, is its gravedigger.
Western leaders, he observed, were "no more than witnesses at Yugoslavia's funeral."

Zimmerman asked Jim Hooper, recently promoted to become the State Department's director of the Office of Canadian Affairs, to join him in developing a menu of concrete policy options for Bosnia. Hooper was skeptical that Deputy Secretary Eagleburger would take his initiatives seriously. He thought Zimmerman was the one who needed to argue for air strikes, but Zimmerman insisted he would lose his access. "This was the classic bureaucratic trap," says Hooper. "If you go to the boss with bad news, the boss won't want to see you anymore." Hooper's wife urged him to accept anyway. "If you don't take this," she said, "you'll wonder for the rest of your life whether you could have made a difference." Hooper accepted the offer and spent the second half of 1992 running the Office of Canadian Affairs and, on a pro bono basis, trying to rally department support for intervention.

U.S. diplomats who worked day to day on Bosnia became eager to see a Western military intervention. They had not become so engaged with Cambodia or Iraq in part because they had been blocked from entering either country and directly witnessing the carnage. Newspaper coverage had been sparse, as journalists, too, were denied access. Americans were also probably less prone to identify with Kurds and Cambodians than they were with Europeans. But the most significant difference was that the Cold War had ended, and there was no geopolitical rationalization for supporting Serb perpetrators. Thus, for the first time in the twentieth century, U.S. military intervention to stop genocide was within reach.

But internal appeals alone were unlikely to make a dent in the consciousness of senior policy-makers so firmly opposed to interveni The State Department dissenters needed help from American repoxters, editorial boards, and advocacy groups. Initially, they did not really get it. Between April and early August many of the journalists who swooped into Bosnia had never visited the country before and compensated for their ignorance with an effort to be "even-handed" and "neutral." Many recall scavenging to dig up stories about atrocities committed by "all sides:' Many did not portray the war as a top-down attempt by Milosevic to create an ethnically pure Greater Serbia.

In early August 1992, however, the proponents of intervention within the U.S. government gained a weapon in their struggle: The Western media finally won access to Serb concentration camps. Journalists not only began challenging U.S. policy but they supplied photographic images and refugee sagas that galvanized heretofore silent elite opinion. Crucially, the advocates of humanitarian intervention began to win the support of both liberals committed to advancing human rights as well as staunch Republican Cold Warriors, who believed the U.S. had the responsibility and the power to stop Serb aggression in Europe. The Bush administration's chosen policy of nonintervention suddenly came to feel politically untenable.

Response (Bush)
"Concentration Camps in Europe"
In the notorious Serb-run camps in northern Bosnia, Muslim and Croat detainees were inhumanly concentrated. Onetime farmers, factory workers, and philosophers were pressed tightly into barracks. One prisoner's nose nestled into the armpit or the sweaty feet of the eighty-five-year-old inmate beside him. The urine bucket filled, spilled, and remained in place. Parched inmates gathered their excretion in cupped hands to wet their lips.

The camps of Bosnia were not extermination camps, though killing was a favorite tool of many of the commanders in charge. Nor could they really be called death camps, though some 10,000 prisoners perished in them. Not every Bosnian Muslim was marked for death as every Jew had been in the Holocaust. Although injury and humiliation were inevitable, death was only possible. Concentration camps is what they were. Forever linked with gas chambers, concentration camps were not a Nazi invention. The Spaniards had used them in Cuba during a local rebellion in 1896, the British in South Africa during the Boer War at the beginning of the twentieth century.

Thanks to its spy satellites, radio and phone communications, and agents on the ground, the United States had known of the Serb camps since May 1992, But midlevel and junior U.S, officials remember the offices above them were a "black hole:' "We would send things up and nothing would come back," said Western. "The only time we would get a response was when the press covered a particular event."'° U.S. analysts knew that Muslim and Croat men were being incarcerated and abused, but Bush administration officials never publicly condemned the camps or demanded their closure. It would take public outrage to force their hand.

Western journalists heard reports of the camps' atrocities but did not immediately accept them. The first convoy of Muslim and Croat refugees from northern Bosnia crossed into Croatia in June. Laura Pitter, a freelance journalist, remembers her reaction to the horrors described by the first wave of refugees:
They were talking about women being put in rape camps. They were talking about all these killings-some they said they'd seen, others they'd only heard about. They talked about people being thrown off cliffs, men being held and tortured and starved in camps. We stayed up talking to them until 2 a.m. So many different people from different places were describing these incredibly similar experiences. They seemed credible, but I still wondered if they were all just repeating the same rumors. No matter how much I heard, I just found it hard to believe. I couldn't believe. In fact, I didn't believe.

Pitter sat around her colleague's apartment that night debating the veracity of the reports. She filed stories over the course of the next week about the refugee crisis but talked only generally of the refugees' "allegations" of atrocities. A few weeks later she finally chose to file a more detailed story told to her by a man who was able to escape from a Serb-run camp with the help of a Serbian Orthodox priest. The camp, in the northwestern Bosnian town of Brcko, was situated in a slaughterhouse. The same machines formerly used to kill cattle were used to kill his fellow prisoners, the witness said. Pitter's news agency United Press International, refused to run the story saying there was not enough proof and citing legal concerns.

One Muslim, Selma Hecimovic, took care of Muslim and Croat women in Bosnia who had been raped at camps the Serbs established specifically for that purpose. She recalled the ways journalists and human rights workers pressed the victims and witnesses of torture:
At the end, I get a bit tired of constantly having to prove. We had to prove genocide, we had to prove that our women are being raped, that our children have been killed. Every time I take a statement from these women, and you journalists want to interview them, I imagine those people, disinterested, sitting in a nice house with a hamburger and beer, switching channels on TV I really don't know what else has to happen here, what further suffering the Muslims have to undergo. . . to make the so-called world react."

The first high-profile press reports of Serb detention camps appeared in July and American and European journalists flooded to Bosnia. Newsday's Roy Gutman, a British film crew from the Independent Television News (ITN), and the Guardian's Ed Vuillamy led the way. On July 19, 1992, Gutman published an article from the Manjaca camp, where he accompanied representatives of the International Committee for the Red Cross
(ICRC), then performing its first inspection. Supervised at all times by Serb escorts, Gutman was allowed to speak only with eight handpicked prisoners. Still, he managed to piece together-mainly from those inmates who had been recently released-tales of beatings, torture, and mass executions. One seventeen-year-old survivor described being hauled to the /
camp in a covered truck along with his father, grandfather, brother, and 150 -others.

He said eighteen people in the six-truck convoy died from asphyxiation.32 In a story entitled "There Is No Food, There Is No Air," Gutmanrelayed a Muslim relief worker's account that six to ten people were dying daily in the Omarska camp near the Serb-held town of Prijedor. On July 21 Gutman's Newsday story "Like Auschwitz," described the deportation of thousands of Muslim civilians in sweltering, locked freight cars." Gutman, who later won the Pulitzer Prize for his dispatches on the camps, used terms such as "sealed boxcars" and "deportations," which could only remind readers of events of fifty years before. He quoted a Muslim student who said, "We all felt like Jews in the Third Reich:''

Gutman relied on refugee testimony to give readers a glimpse of Omarska, the worst of the Serbs' camps, where several thousand Muslim and Croat civilians, including the entire leadership of the town of Prijedor, were held in metal cages and killed in groups of ten to fifteen every few days. A former inmate, Alija Lujinovic, a fifty-three-year-old electrical engineer, had been held in a northeastern Bosnian facility where he said some 1,350 people were slaughtered between mid-May and mid June. Not surprisingly, just like the Khmer Rouge and the Iraqi government, the Serbs denied access to relief officials and journalists who wanted to investigate. On August 2, 1992, Gutman filed a story in which Lujinovic, the survivor, offered grim details of Serbs slitting the throats of Muslim prisoners, stripping them, and throwing them into the Sava River or grinding them into animal feed.

The following day U.S. State Department spokesman Richard Boucher finally confirmed that the United States possessed evidence of the camps. He admitted that the administration knew "that the Serbian forces are maintaining what they call detention centers" and that "abuses and torture and killings are taking place." But he insisted that the Serbs were not alone, adding, "I should also note that we have reports that Bosnians and Croatians also maintain detention centers. "The United States did not have evidence that similar atrocities had occurred in the other camps, but Boucher still broadened the appeal for access. "All parties must allow international authorities immediate and unhindered access to all the detention centers," he said. "We've made clear right from the beginning of this that there were various parties involved in the fighting; that there were people on all sides . . . that were doing bad things"

Even Boucher's diluted condemnation proved too much for his bosses. The following day, on instructions from Eagleburger, Assistant Secretary of State for Europe Tom Niles backtracked, testifying on Capitol Hill that the administration in fact did not have "thus far substantiated information that would confirm the existence of these camps." Boucher's admissions had caused a spike in elite pressure for intervention. A senior State Department official said at the time, "Our intention was to move the ball forward one step, and the [news] reports moved it forward two steps."3' With Niles's retreat, the Washington-based journalists became furious.

The Washington Post's veteran correspondent Don Oberdorfer wrote in his journal, "I had rarely seen the State Department press corps-or what was left of it in August-so agitated" From then on, the reporters assumed the administration was obfuscating or lying outright. Congressman Tom Lantos, the Holocaust survivor. who had found the Bush administration's response to Iraqi atrocities "nauseating," was again enraged. He confronted Niles by grabbing the morning's New York Times, which led with the headline about the camps. "You remember the old excuse that while the gas chambers were in full blast killing innocent people, we could say, not very honestly, `we don't know,"' Lantos challenged Niles.

"Now, either Mr. Boucher is lying or you are lying, but you are both working for [Secretary of State] Jim Baker, and we are not going to read Boucher's statement in the New York Times and listen to you testify to the exact oppošite."'9 Since no reporter had yet visited the Omarska death camp, the Bush administration could still claim that the refugee claims were unconfirmed.

On August 5 Boucher said Red Cross officials had visited nine camps and reported "very difficult conditions of detention:' But he said, "they have not found any evidence of death camps. "The Holocaust standard, he implied, had not been met. Boucher went on to note that the Red Cross had not yet been allowed to visit the most notorious camps. Asked what the United States would do when evidence had been gathered against those responsible, Boucher said he did not know of any plans for a war crimes tribunal. And no, he stressed, the administration was not considering using force.""

President Bush remained immobile on the question of U.S. intervention. In an interview published the same day, he was quoted as saying that military force "is an option that I haven't thought of yet." He met the objections of critics by falling back on the Powell-Weinberger doctrine. "Now we have some people coming at me saying, `Commit American forces,"' Bush said. "Before I'd commit forces to a battle, I want to know what's the beginning, what's the objective, how's the objective going to be achieved and what's the end:'^' These were of course reasonable questions,but there was no indication that anyone at the upper levels of the U.S. government was trying to supply answers.

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